2024 Copa América odds, picks: Argentina favored despite Messi injury; USA tumbles

Copa América

Updated Jun. 26, 2024 10:43 a.m. ET

The 16-team Copa América men’s soccer tournament is underway, and you can catch the action on FOX Sports and the FOX Sports app!

The tournament features the top squads from South America and North America and will take place from June 20-July 14 at 14 venues across the United States.

The United States Men’s National Team (USMNT) is in Group C and played its first match on Sunday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, against Bolivia , winning 2-0. That result, according to Patrick Everson, was a good result for one book in particular.

In that game, Christian Pulisic and Folarin Balogun scored the goals that lifted the U.S. past Bolivia.

Currently, the USA winning it all would be a good result for some oddsmakers. Originally, the USMNT’s odds remained steady at +1200 but have since lengthened slightly to +1400.

Let’s take a look at the current odds to win Copa América from DraftKings Sportsbook, along with insights from FOX Sports Soccer Writer Doug McIntyre:

ODDS TO WIN Copa América 2024: *

Argentina: +150 (bet $10 to win $25 total)

Brazil: +240 (bet $10 to win $34 total)

Uruguay: +400 (bet $10 to win $50 total)

Colombia: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)

Mexico: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)

United States: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)

Ecuador: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)

Chile: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)

Venezuela: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)

Canada: +6500 (bet $10 to win $660 total)

Peru: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)

Paraguay: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)

Costa Rica: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)

Bolivia: +20000 (bet $10 to win $2,010 total)

Jamaica: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)

Panama: +30000 (bet $10 to win $3,010 total)

* odds as of 6/26/24

Stu Holden & Alexi Lalas give their USMNT starting 11 for Copa America

As for the futures market, Lionel Messi and Argentina are still the betting favorites at +150, with Brazil close behind at +240.

However, Brazil’s odds lengthened slightly from +225 as it tied 0-0 with Costa Rica on Monday in its first match of the tournament.

A team whose odds have surged up the board is Mexico. The team’s futures have moved to +1200 from +2500 since defeating Jamaica 1-0.

The group stage runs through July 2, with the quarterfinals taking place July 4-6.

The semifinals are July 9-10 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, and Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. The third-place match is on July 13 in Charlotte, and the final will be at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami on July 14.

Doug McIntyre’s prediction for tournament winner (pre-tournament pick)

“It won’t be easy for Argentina to repeat Spain’s feat from earlier this century and sandwich its World Cup win between a pair of continental crowns. But the Albiceleste is more than capable of doing so, even though Lionel Messi turns 37 four days after his country kicks off the 16-team event, and despite the stiff challenge they could face from a Uruguay team that recently handed Messi & Co. their first loss since becoming world champs.

“Another reason Argentina is the prohibitive favorite? Brazil, which Argentina beat to win the Copa América in 2021, is in dreadful form with USA 2024 now less than six months away.”

PICK: Argentina to win Copa América 2024 (+200 at time of pick)

Alexi Lalas gives his Copa America round by round predictions

McIntyre’s insights on USMNT Group C matches

USMNT vs. Panama, June 27, Atlanta

“In front of what could be a heavily pro-USMNT crowd in Atlanta, the 12th-ranked U.S. should be able to handle FIFA’s No. 41 team in theory. In practice, Los Canaleros have for years been a thorn in the Americans’ side, particularly in tournament play.

“While the USMNT holds a 17W-2L-7T advantage all-time, Panama beat the U.S. during the last World Cup qualifying cycle. It also eliminated the hosts from two of the last five Gold Cups, including in 2023.”

USMNT vs. Uruguay, July 1, Kansas City, Mo.

“The USMNT must wait until its final Group C match to take on one of South America’s best. Uruguay certainly is that. La Celeste has been a revelation under new manager Marcelo Bielsa, who took over after Uruguay’s disappointing showing at last year’s World Cup.

“Last month, Balsa’s team handed Argentina a 2-0 World Cup qualifying loss at the famed Bombonera Stadium in Buenos Aires — the first defeat for Messi & Co. as world champs.”

Alexi Lalas gives his Copa America & Euros Favorites

Here are the previous Copa América championship matches:

2021: Argentina def. Brazil

2019: Brazil def. Peru

2016: Chile def. Argentina

2015: Chile def. Argentina

2011: Uruguay def. Paraguay

2007: Brazil def. Argentina

2004: Brazil def. Argentina

2001: Colombia def. Mexico

1999: Brazil def. Uruguay

1997: Brazil def. Bolivia

1995: Uruguay def. Brazil

1993: Argentina def. Mexico

1991: Argentina def. Brazil

1989: Brazil def. Uruguay

1987: Uruguay def. Chile

1983: Uruguay def. Brazil

1979: Paraguay def. Chile

1975: Peru def. Colombia

1967: Uruguay def. Argentina

1963: Bolivia def. Paraguay

1959: Uruguay def. Argentina

1959: Argentina def. Brazil

1957: Argentina def. Brazil

1956: Uruguay def. Chile

1955: Argentina def. Chile

1953: Paraguay def. Brazil

1949: Brazil def. Paraguay

1947: Argentina def. Paraguay

1946: Argentina def. Brazil

1945: Argentina def. Brazil

1942: Uruguay def. Argentina

1941: Argentina def. Uruguay

1939: Peru def. Uruguay

1937: Argentina def. Brazil

1935: Uruguay def. Argentina

1929: Argentina def. Paraguay

1927: Argentina def. Uruguay

1926: Uruguay def. Argentina

1925: Argentina def. Brazil

1924: Uruguay def. Argentina

1923: Uruguay def. Argentina

1922: Brazil def. Paraguay

1921: Argentina def. Brazil

1920: Uruguay def. Argentina

1919: Brazil def. Uruguay

1917: Uruguay def. Argentina

1916: Uruguay def. Argentina

Copa América CHAMPIONSHIPS/RUNNER-UP FINISHES

Argentina: 15/14

Uruguay: 15/6

Brazil: 9/12

Paraguay: 2/6

Chile: 2/4

Peru: 2/1

Bolivia: 1/1

Colombia: 1/1

Mexico: 0/2

Who are you backing to win the 2024 Copa America Tournament? Follow FOX Sports for the latest soccer news.

Doug McIntyre is a soccer writer for FOX Sports. Before joining FOX Sports in 2021, he was a staff writer with ESPN and Yahoo Sports, and he has covered the United States men’s and women’s national teams at multiple FIFA World Cups. Follow him on Twitter @ByDougMcIntyre.