2024 NCAA Tournament projections: Iowa State on the rise, Kansas falls

College Basketball

Updated Mar. 3, 2024 4:07 p.m. ET

This weekend featured a wild, jam-packed slate of college hoops, with plenty of upsets, close finishes and standout performances.

With that said, it’s time for FOX Sports bracket forecaster Mike DeCourcy to release his updated NCAA Tournament projections.

UConn (East), Houston (South), Purdue (Midwest) and Arizona (West) remain on the top line in DeCourcy’s latest projections. The Cougars, Boilermakers and Wildcats all notched wins on Saturday, while UConn won on Sunday.

North Carolina, Marquette, Tennessee remain on the 2-line, while Iowa State jumps up to a No. 2 seed after winning three straight. Meanwhile, Kansas fell to a No. 3 seed following an 82-74 loss to Baylor, which marked the Jayhawks’ second straight defeat. Kansas is joined by Baylor, Duke and Alabama on the 3-line. The Blue Devils notched an impressive win over Virginia on Saturday.

Kentucky, Auburn, Creighton and Illinois are listed as the No. 4 seeds in DeCourcy’s latest projections.

Outside the top-four seeds, other notable teams appearing in DeCourcy’s projections include: San Diego State (No. 5 seed), Wisconsin (No. 6 seed), Michigan State (No. 9 seed), Texas (No. 9 seed) and a pair of Big East teams — Villanova and Seton Hall (No. 11 seeds).

As for teams on the bubble, DeCourcy has Virginia, Colorado, Utah and St. John’s as his last four teams in the tournament. Providence, Wake Forest Texas A&M and Iowa are listed as the first four out, while Ole Miss, Pitt, Drake and Memphis are the next four out.

The Big 12 has the most representatives in DeCourcy’s compilation with nine teams. The SEC has seven teams represented, while the Big Ten, Mountain West and Big East have six teams in the tournament, according to DeCourcy’s latest projections. The ACC has five teams, while the Pac-12 has four teams and the West Coast Conference has two teams represented.

Here’s a look at DeCourcy’s updated seed list. Regions are not included.

No. 1 seeds

1. Purdue

2. UConn

3. Houston

4. Arizona

No. 2 seeds

5. Tennessee

6. North Carolina

7. Marquette

8. Iowa State

No. 3 seeds

9. Kansas

10. Baylor

11. Duke

12. Alabama

No. 4 seeds

13. Creighton

14. Illinois

15. Kentucky

16. Auburn

No. 5 seeds

17. San Diego State

18. Clemson

19. BYU

20. Dayton

No. 6 seeds