2024 NFL MVP odds, picks: Can Allen, Stroud overtake Mahomes?

National Football League

Updated Sep. 3, 2024 12:51 p.m. ET

Can Patrick Mahomes follow up his third Super Bowl MVP performance by claiming the NFL MVP Award for a third time in 2024?

After leading the Kansas City Chiefs to a win in Super Bowl LVIII, Mahomes opened as the early favorite to be the MVP of the 2024-25 season at +600. Now, with the new season kicking off this week, his odds are even lower, as he now sits at +475 to win the award.

Right behind Mahomes is — surprisingly — Houston Texans QB CJ Stroud at +800. He’s just ahead of Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen at +900.

Reigning MVP Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens is a little further down the list at +2000. Those odds lengthened from +1800 over the last two weeks. He’s tied with Dallas’Dak Prescott and San Francisco’s Brock Purdy.

Jalen Hurts, however, saw his odds shorten recently, moving to +1200 from +1400.

Let’s take a full look at the updated MVP betting board at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Sept. 3.

2024-25 NFL MVP ODDS:

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs: +475 (bet $10 to win $57.50 total)

C.J. Stroud, Texans: +800 (bet $10 to win $90 total)

Josh Allen, Bills: +900 (bet $10 to win $100 total)

Joe Burrow, Bengals: +950 (bet $10 to win $105 total)

Jalen Hurts, Eagles: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)

Jordan Love, Packers: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)

Aaron Rodgers, Jets: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)

Jared Goff, Lions: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Dak Prescott, Cowboys: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Lamar Jackson, Ravens: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Brock Purdy, 49ers: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Quarterbacks normally dominate the MVP odds list, as is the case again this year.

The non-QB with the shortest odds is San Francisco running back Christian McCaffrey at +6000, which moved from +4000 since the end of August. He’s followed by Tyreek Hill in that category, at +10000 — longer than where he was two weeks ago at +7500.

Stroud being second on the board might surprise some, but the star QB is entering his second year in the league with lofty expectations.

As a rookie, he was 9-6 as a starter and led the Texans to the AFC divisional round, where they lost to Jackson’s Ravens in Baltimore.

Last season, Stroud threw for 4,108 yards, 23 touchdowns and just five interceptions, while completing 63.9% of his passes. That was with his top two receivers being third-year pro Nico Collins and fellow rookie Tank Dell.

Now, Stroud will not only have Collins and Dell catching passes, but four-time Pro-Bowler and former first team All-Pro selection Stefon Diggs will join the fray, after the Texans traded for him back in April.

‘Patrick Mahomes is the best QB ever and Tom Brady is the GOAT’ — Nick Wright

As for best bets for the award, FOX Sports betting expert Jason McIntyre has you covered with his three best bets for NFL MVP:

Editor’s Note: Bets placed on 7/25/2024

Here are two things we know about NFL MVP: the last non-QB to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012, and, before that, it was LaDainian Tomlinson (2006).

To tally that up, 16 of the last 18 winners have been quarterbacks.

Last year, Lamar Jackson had 15-1 odds to win the MVP and ended up stealing it with a December surge past â€¦ Brock Purdy.

Here are three guys I’m taking a flier on this year*:

Jalen Hurts

The addition of Saquon Barkley could have a massive impact on the offense, similar to how Christian McCaffrey transformed the 49ers. The schedule for Hurts is very favorable, and the Eagles could lead the league in offense. Hurts may be the best QB in the NFC by midseason, and these odds will shrink, so take them now.

PICK: Jalen Hurts to win 2024 NFL MVP (+1500)

Jared Goff

The media seems to really like Goff, or perhaps it’s his awesome story of redemption — kicked to the curb by the Rams, and then gets to within 3 points of a Super Bowl with the “lowly Lions”.

Goff may not be a top-3 player for the Lions, but if Detroit wins 12 to 13 games, he’ll certainly be in the discussion.

PICK: Jared Goff to win 2024 NFL MVP (+2000)

What does Jalen Hurts have to prove this season?

Anthony Richardson

He’s a long-shot bet, especially for a 22-year-old who played in four games and threw three TD passes. But, he’s got one of the best young play-callers in Shane Steichen, and the late-season schedule is perhaps the weakest in the NFL: at New England, bye, at Denver, vs. Tennessee, at Giants, vs. Jaguars.

A 5-0 finishing kick could get them to 11 wins, which would vault him firmly in the mix for the MVP.

PICK: Anthony Richardson to win 2024 NFL MVP (+3000)

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