2024 NFL MVP odds, picks: Patrick Mahomes favored, Aaron Rodgers takes tumble

National Football League

Updated Sep. 10, 2024 11:24 a.m. ET

Can Patrick Mahomes follow up his third Super Bowl MVP performance by claiming the NFL MVP Award for a third time in 2024?

After leading the Kansas City Chiefs to a win in Super Bowl LVIII, Mahomes opened as the early favorite to be the MVP of the 2024-25 season at +600. Now, with the new season underway, his odds are even shorter, as he now sits at +400 to win the award.

Right behind Mahomes is Buffalo’s Josh Allen at +500. His odds surged up the board from +900 after the Bills’ 34-28 Week 1 win over the Cardinals.

Let’s take a look at some of the top names on the MVP betting board at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Sept. 10.

2024-25 NFL MVP ODDS:

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs: +400 (bet $10 to win $50 total)

Josh Allen, Bills: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)

C.J. Stroud, Texans: +900 (bet $10 to win $100 total)

Jalen Hurts, Eagles: +1200 (bet $10 to win $130 total)

Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)

Lamar Jackson, Ravens: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)

Joe Burrow, Bengals: +1700 (bet $10 to win $180 total)

Jared Goff, Lions: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Dak Prescott, Cowboys: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Brock Purdy, 49ers: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Aaron Rodgers, Jets: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)

Matthew Stafford, Rams: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)

Anthony Richardson, Colts: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)

Brock Purdy, 49ers SHUT DOWN New York Jets in Aaron Rodgers’ return

Third on the list is Houston Texans QB CJ Stroud at +900. His odds shifted slightly from +800 over the past week, moving him to third from second on the board.

Last season, Stroud threw for 4,108 yards, 23 touchdowns and just five interceptions, while completing 63.9% of his passes. That was with his top two receivers being third-year pro Nico Collins and fellow rookie Tank Dell.

Reigning MVP Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens is a little further down the list at +1600, shorter than +2000, which is where he was before Week 1 kicked off.

Taking a tumble is Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers. His odds moved to +2500 from +2000 after his team’s 32-19 Monday Night Football loss to the 49ers.

Quarterbacks normally dominate the MVP odds list, as is the case again this year.

The first non-QBs on the list are San Francisco running back Christian McCaffrey and Miami wide receiver Tyreek Hill.

After Week 1, they’re both +10000 in this market. However, McCaffrey’s odds were +6000 before the team announced that his calf injury would cause him to miss the Niners’ Monday night matchup.

Calais Campbell on him and Tyreek Hill being detained by police before kickoff

As for best bets for the award, FOX Sports betting expert Jason McIntyre has you covered with his three best bets for NFL MVP:

Editor’s Note: Bets placed on 7/25/2024

Here are two things we know about NFL MVP: the last non-QB to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012, and, before that, it was LaDainian Tomlinson (2006).

To tally that up, 16 of the last 18 winners have been quarterbacks.

Last year, Lamar Jackson had 15-1 odds to win the MVP and ended up stealing it with a December surge past â€¦ Brock Purdy.

Here are three guys I’m taking a flier on this year*:

Jalen Hurts

The addition of Saquon Barkley could have a massive impact on the offense, similar to how Christian McCaffrey transformed the 49ers. The schedule for Hurts is very favorable, and the Eagles could lead the league in offense. Hurts may be the best QB in the NFC by midseason, and these odds will shrink, so take them now.

PICK: Jalen Hurts to win 2024 NFL MVP (+1500)

Jared Goff

The media seems to really like Goff, or perhaps it’s his awesome story of redemption — kicked to the curb by the Rams, and then gets to within 3 points of a Super Bowl with the “lowly Lions”.

Goff may not be a top-3 player for the Lions, but if Detroit wins 12 to 13 games, he’ll certainly be in the discussion.

PICK: Jared Goff to win 2024 NFL MVP (+2000)

What does Jalen Hurts have to prove this season?

Anthony Richardson

He’s a long-shot bet, especially for a 22-year-old who played in four games and threw three TD passes. But, he’s got one of the best young play-callers in Shane Steichen, and the late-season schedule is perhaps the weakest in the NFL: at New England, bye, at Denver, vs. Tennessee, at Giants, vs. Jaguars.

A 5-0 finishing kick could get them to 11 wins, which would vault him firmly in the mix for the MVP.

PICK: Anthony Richardson to win 2024 NFL MVP (+3000)

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