2024 NFL MVP odds, race: Patrick Mahomes favored; Jayden Daniels surging

National Football League

Updated Oct. 8, 2024 10:10 a.m. ET

With NFL Week 5 in the books and Week 6 on the horizon, MVP odds are on the move.

Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes has maintained his position at the top of the betting board as the favorite, although his odds moved to +330 from +300 over the last week.

Josh Allen — who was the favorite in this spot two weeks ago — saw his odds lengthen to +600 from +350. Now the Bills’ quarterback is tied for second with Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson, whose odds recently shortened to +600 from +700.

Let’s take a look at some more of the top names on the MVP oddsboard at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Oct. 8.

2024-25 NFL MVP ODDS:

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs: +330 (bet $10 to win $43 total)

Josh Allen, Bills: +600 (bet $10 to win $70 total)

Lamar Jackson, Ravens: +600 (bet $10 to win $70 total)

C.J. Stroud, Texans: +750 (bet $10 to win $85 total)

Jayden Daniels, Commanders: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)

Sam Darnold, Vikings: +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total)

Joe Burrow, Bengals: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)

Jared Goff, Lions: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Brock Purdy, 49ers: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Dak Prescott, Cowboys: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)

Kyler Murray, Cardinals: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)

Baker Mayfield, Buccaneers: +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total)

Jalen Hurts, Eagles: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)

Kirk Cousins, Falcons: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)

Jordan Love, Packers: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)

Aaron Rodgers, Jets: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)

Fourth on the board behind Mahomes, Allen and Jackson is Houston’s Stroud, whose odds shifted to +750 from +1000.

Fifth on this list is rookie QB Jayden Daniels. And bettors might want to pay close attention to his MVP movement.

The Commanders’ signal caller surged up the board to +1000 from +2500 over the last week.

In Washington’s Week 5, 34-13 win over Cleveland, Daniels threw for 238 yards and one touchdown. He also rushed for another 82 yards.

“Jayden Daniels’ stats compare favorably to any rookie quarterback you wanna talk about in recent memory,” FOX Sports NFL insider Dave Helman explained. “Since 1970, no NFL team with a rookie quarterback has scored more than 150 points in their first five games, until Jayden Daniels did.

“They’re not just winning; they look absolutely dominant.”

Jayden Daniels or Sam Darnold: Whose success has been more SURPRISING so far?

Kirk Cousins also saw his MVP odds surge after Week 5.

In Atlanta’s thrilling 36-30 victory over Tampa Bay on Thursday Night Football, Cousins threw for 509 yards and four TDs to help lift the Falcons over their NFC South rival.

Since that performance, he has moved to +3500 from +5000.

After the game, Cousins appeared on “The Herd.”

“I got home at about 2:30 in the morning last night,” Cousins laughed as he recapped that big game to host Colin Cowherd. “It was a long night but a fun night.”

Other shifts include Jordan Love moving to +4000 from +6000 and Aaron Rodgers falling to +5000 from +3000 after losing to the Vikings, 23-17.

Ravens beat Bengals 41-38 in OT, How confident should people be in Lamar Jackson?

As for best bets for the award, FOX Sports betting expert Jason McIntyre has you covered with his three best bets for NFL MVP:

Editor’s Note: Bets placed on 7/25/2024

Here are two things we know about NFL MVP: the last non-QB to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012, and, before that, it was LaDainian Tomlinson (2006).

To tally that up, 16 of the last 18 winners have been quarterbacks.

Last year, Lamar Jackson had 15-1 odds to win the MVP and ended up stealing it with a December surge past â€¦ Brock Purdy.

Here are three guys I’m taking a flier on this year*:

Jalen Hurts

The addition of Saquon Barkley could have a massive impact on the offense, similar to how Christian McCaffrey transformed the 49ers. The schedule for Hurts is very favorable, and the Eagles could lead the league in offense. Hurts may be the best QB in the NFC by midseason, and these odds will shrink, so take them now.

PICK: Jalen Hurts to win 2024 NFL MVP (+1500)

Jared Goff

The media seems to really like Goff, or perhaps it’s his awesome story of redemption — kicked to the curb by the Rams, and then gets to within 3 points of a Super Bowl with the “lowly Lions”.

Goff may not be a top-3 player for the Lions, but if Detroit wins 12 to 13 games, he’ll certainly be in the discussion.

PICK: Jared Goff to win 2024 NFL MVP (+2000)

What does Jalen Hurts have to prove this season?

Anthony Richardson

He’s a long-shot bet, especially for a 22-year-old who played in four games and threw three TD passes. But, he’s got one of the best young play-callers in Shane Steichen, and the late-season schedule is perhaps the weakest in the NFL: at New England, bye, at Denver, vs. Tennessee, at Giants, vs. Jaguars.

A 5-0 finishing kick could get them to 11 wins, which would vault him firmly in the mix for the MVP.

PICK: Anthony Richardson to win 2024 NFL MVP (+3000)

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