Sports

2024 NFL MVP odds, race: Patrick Mahomes favored; Purdy, Love surging

National Football League
Updated Oct. 15, 2024 12:19 p.m. ET

Kansas City’sPatrick Mahomes (+360) has maintained his position at the top of the betting board as the favorite to win NFL MVP.

However, Josh Allen is closing in on Mahomes.

In the Bills’ 23-20 Monday Night Football win over the Jets, Allen threw for 215 yards, two touchdowns and rushed for 18 yards with one TD on the ground.

After that performance, his odds shortened to +475 from +600.

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Let’s take a look at some more of the top names on the MVP oddsboard at DraftKings Sportsbook as of Oct. 15.

2024-25 NFL MVP ODDS:

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs: +360 (bet $10 to win $46 total)

Josh Allen, Bills: +475 (bet $10 to win $57.50 total)

Lamar Jackson, Ravens: +550 (bet $10 to win $65 total)

C.J. Stroud, Texans: +650 (bet $10 to win $75 total)

Jayden Daniels, Commanders: +1100 (bet $10 to win $120 total)

Sam Darnold, Vikings: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)

Brock Purdy, 49ers: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)

Joe Burrow, Bengals: +1700 (bet $10 to win $180 total)

Jared Goff, Lions: +1800 (bet $10 to win $190 total)

Jordan Love, Packers: +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)

Jalen Hurts, Eagles: +2800 (bet $10 to win $290 total)

Baker Mayfield, Buccaneers: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)

Kirk Cousins, Falcons: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)

Dak Prescott, Cowboys: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)

Kyler Murray, Cardinals: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)

Aaron Rodgers, Jets: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)

Rounding out the top three is Lamar Jackson at +550, moving from +600 after Week 6.

Fifth on this list is rookie QB Jayden Daniels. And bettors might want to pay close attention to his MVP movement.

The Commanders’ signal caller surged up the board to +1100 from +2500 over the last two weeks.

“Jayden Daniels’ stats compare favorably to any rookie quarterback you wanna talk about in recent memory,” FOX Sports NFL insider Dave Helman explained. “Since 1970, no NFL team with a rookie quarterback has scored more than 150 points in their first five games, until Jayden Daniels did.

“They’re not just winning; they look absolutely dominant.”

Jayden Daniels or Sam Darnold: Whose success has been more SURPRISING so far?

A little further down the board is Brock Purdy, who recently jumped up to +1400 from +2000.

“He continues to impress me with his escapability,” co-host Nick Wright said on “First Things First” after the Niners’ 36-24 win over the Seahawks. “I was somewhat impressed by Purdy, and I also think he played an excellent game.”

Jordan Love has also made a huge leap up the oddsboard, moving to +2200 from +4000.

FOX Sports NFL reporter Eric Williams wrote that, “Love is rounding into form” in the wake of his knee injury.

And based on the QB’s most recent performance, Williams’ assessment is accurate.

In Green Bay’s 34-13 win over Arizona in Week 6, Love threw for 258 yards and four touchdowns.

Packers vs. Cardinals Recap: Jordan Love, Green Bay is ROLLING: Daryl Johnston & Kevin Kugler

As for best bets for the award, FOX Sports betting expert Jason McIntyre has you covered with his three best bets for NFL MVP:

Editor’s Note: Bets placed on 7/25/2024

Here are two things we know about NFL MVP: the last non-QB to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012, and, before that, it was LaDainian Tomlinson (2006).

To tally that up, 16 of the last 18 winners have been quarterbacks.

Last year, Lamar Jackson had 15-1 odds to win the MVP and ended up stealing it with a December surge past … Brock Purdy.

Here are three guys I’m taking a flier on this year*:

Jalen Hurts

The addition of Saquon Barkley could have a massive impact on the offense, similar to how Christian McCaffrey transformed the 49ers. The schedule for Hurts is very favorable, and the Eagles could lead the league in offense. Hurts may be the best QB in the NFC by midseason, and these odds will shrink, so take them now.

PICK: Jalen Hurts to win 2024 NFL MVP (+1500)

Jared Goff

The media seems to really like Goff, or perhaps it’s his awesome story of redemption — kicked to the curb by the Rams, and then gets to within 3 points of a Super Bowl with the “lowly Lions”.

Goff may not be a top-3 player for the Lions, but if Detroit wins 12 to 13 games, he’ll certainly be in the discussion.

PICK: Jared Goff to win 2024 NFL MVP (+2000)

What does Jalen Hurts have to prove this season?

Anthony Richardson

He’s a long-shot bet, especially for a 22-year-old who played in four games and threw three TD passes. But, he’s got one of the best young play-callers in Shane Steichen, and the late-season schedule is perhaps the weakest in the NFL: at New England, bye, at Denver, vs. Tennessee, at Giants, vs. Jaguars.

A 5-0 finishing kick could get them to 11 wins, which would vault him firmly in the mix for the MVP.

PICK: Anthony Richardson to win 2024 NFL MVP (+3000)

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