2024 NFL odds: Back Eagles to win, cover against Commanders
The Thursday Night Football battle between the Eagles and Commanders will be a tough one.
We probably won’t be able to match the drama and excitement of last week’s Ravens–Bengals TNF game, but Washington at Philadelphia still seems like it has the potential to be a classic.
Let’s start here: Weirdly, the Eagles haven’t been great at home lately, failing to cover in six straight at Lincoln Financial Field.
And that includes two recent games as big favorites (Browns, Jaguars).
But home games at night are a different animal for the Eagles when Jalen Hurts is under center. His record in those instances is 8-2-1 against the spread (ATS).
Fully-healthy Philly is fresh off a 34-6 win over Dallas. In that game, the Eagles sat starters for most of the fourth quarter.
Keep in mind that star WR A.J. Brown is also back in the lineup, and when he plays, Philly is 6-0 this season.
Only one rookie QB this year has played in TNF, and that’s Bo Nix. The Broncos QB got an easy 33-10 win over the Saints. Nix threw for a pedestrian 164 yards, but the Broncos rushed for 225 yards and rolled to victory.
Short weeks for young QBs, at night and on the road can be a dangerous recipe. But it should be noted that Jayden Daniels did go to Cincinnati on Monday Night Football and torch the Bengals.
He went 21-for-23 passing for 254 yards, two touchdowns, plus another 39 yards on the ground.
However, one big edge here goes to Vic Fangio.
His Eagles defense has been improving weekly, especially in the secondary with two rookies. Some of that is because the opponents have been terrible, but his two linebackers — Zack Baun and Nakobe Dean — have been tremendous this season. And they’re built to slow the Washington running game.
I want to make a play on the Over, but it has been bet down from 50.5 to 48.5. The Kellen Moore vs. Dan Quinn matchup is also fascinating, as both spent years together in Dallas, and that edge probably goes to Quinn.
But Moore has better weapons now than he did in Dallas.
PICK: Philadelphia (-3.5) to win by more than 3.5 points
Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst who also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead. Follow him on Twitter @JasonRMcIntyre.
Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, and follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily!
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott to undergo season-ending surgery on torn hamstring
NFL Week 10 odds: ‘Woulda, Coulda, Shoulda’ parlay; five bets that would’ve won big
QB Stock Market Week 11: Russell Wilson, Mike Tomlin proving everyone wrong
Behind the Scenes with FOX’s NFL crew: Broadcasting legends, from Madden to Brady
2025 Super Bowl odds: Chiefs, Lions, Ravens hold steady; Falcons tumble
2025 NFL Draft order: Updated after Week 10
C.J. Stroud tops the list of best-selling NFL jerseys midway through 2024 season
Bears fire offensive coordinator Shane Waldron amid QB Caleb Williams’ struggles
2024 NFL Thanksgiving Games: Schedule, teams, how to watch
Get more from National Football LeagueFollow your favorites to get information about games, news and more
