Euro 2024 odds, predictions, picks: Spain favored despite losing Pedri, Carvajal

UEFA Euro

Updated Jul. 9, 2024 9:54 a.m. ET

And then there were four.

The Euro semis are set. The lone favorite Spain will take on France (Tuesday, 3 p.m. ET, FOX and the FOX Sports App ), while England will take on the Netherlands (Wednesday, 3 p.m. ET, FOX and the FOX Sports App), with a spot in the finals on the line.

Spain currently sits at +190 after beating Germany in an instant classic in the quarterfinals. Throughout the majority of the tournament, either England or France was atop the oddsboard.

Through its first five games of the tournament, Spain has not lost and has outscored its opponents 11-2 in that span, guided by the young duo of Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal.

UEFA Euro 2024

Follow the knockout round as every team fights to move on.

Tournament Details

Let’s take a look at the updated odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of July 9.

ODDS TO WIN UEFA EURO 2024:

Spain: +190 (bet $10 to win $29 total)

England: +250 (bet $10 to win $35.50 total)

France: +275 (bet $10 to win $37.50 total)

Netherlands: +400 (bet $10 to win $50 total)

It’s not all roses for Spain, however.

The title favorites will enter their duel with France without star midfielder Pedri, who suffered a knee injury against Germany, and will also be without defender Dani Carvajal, who received two yellow cards against Germany.

Still, despite the absence of two key starters, FOX Sports’ Martin Rogers believes Spain should still be favored, due to its depth and commitment to team success.

“There is a collective willingness in Spain’s group to play for the greater good of the team,” Rogers wrote. “Even Carvajal was a case in point. His challenge on Jamal Musiala for the second yellow card looked clumsy, but he knew what he was doing and that stopping his opponent from getting a cross in was more important in that moment than avoiding another booking.

“That’s the kind of level of commitment Spain has. And that’s why they are still the team to beat, with just a week of Euro 2024 left.”

Pre-tournament futures bet via Chris “The Bear” Fallica:

The Dutch are always a popular pick to break through and win one of these major tournaments, but seven or so months out, I think the Oranje have a shot at making some noise this summer. Assuming they finish second to France in their group, that likely puts them in a Round of 16 match with Slovakia or Romania.

Portugal would be the highest–rated potential quarterfinal opponent, and in the semis could be Germany — which hasn’t been great in the last few international tournaments — or Spain. With depth and strength in the midfield and on defense, this Dutch side could make a very deep, dark-horse run.

PICK: Netherlands (+1600 at time of pick) to win UEFA Euro 2024*

* Editor’s note: Pick was made when the draw was released

Here are the previous UEFA Euro champions:

2020: Italy def. England

2016: Portugal def. France

2012: Spain def. Italy

2008: Spain def. Germany

2004: Greece def. Portugal

2000: France def. Italy

1996: Germany def. Czech Republic

1992: Denmark def. Germany

1988: Netherlands def. Soviet Union

1984: France def. Spain

1980: West Germany def. Belgium

1976: Czechoslovakia def. West Germany

1972: West Germany def. Soviet Union

1968: Italy def. Yugoslavia

1964: Spain def. Soviet Union

1960: Soviet Union def. Yugoslavia

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