UEFA Euro 2024 odds, picks: France new favorite; Belgium’s odds tumble after loss

UEFA Euro

Updated Jun. 18, 2024 11:44 a.m. ET

The 2024 UEFA Euro Championship is underway — and the first stunner of the tournament took place on Monday in the form of Belgium’s 1-0 loss to Slovakia.

Belgium’s odds of winning the Euros dropped from +1600 to +2000.

Just how big of an upset was it? Well, it was the biggest upset in Euro history, with Belgium ranked No. 3 and Slovakia at No. 48 in the FIFA rankings.

In addition to Belgium’s futures moving, there was another shift on the oddsboard.

As of Tuesday, France is the new favorite to win it all.

England had been the pre-tournament betting favorite since the lines were released. However, just before the games began, France joined it atop the betting board at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Now, France, at +380, has a slight edge on England, which is at +400.

It’s worth noting that France will reportedly be without Mbappé when it faces the Netherlands Friday after he broke his nose in Monday’s match against Austria.

The 17th tournament will be played from June 14-July 14 at stadiums across Germany.

You can watch all the action on FOX Sports, FS1, FS2 and FuboTV.

Let’s take a look at the updated odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, plus a couple of picks from FOX Sports wagering expert Chris “The Bear” Fallica and FOX Sports soccer writer Doug McIntyre.

ODDS TO WIN UEFA EURO 2024 *

France: +380 (bet $10 to win $48 total)

England: +400 (bet $10 to win $50 total)

Germany: +450 (Bet $10 to win $55 total)

Portugal: +650 (bet $10 to win $75 total)

Spain: +700 (bet $10 to win $80 total)

Netherlands: +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total)

Italy: +1600 (bet $10 to win $170 total)

Belgium: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)

Denmark: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)

Croatia: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)

Switzerland: +5000 (bet $10 to win $510 total)

Austria: +6500 (bet $10 to win $660 total)

Turkey: +6500 (bet $10 to win $660 total)

Romania: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)

Czech Republic: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)

Serbia: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)

Hungary: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)

Slovakia: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)

Ukraine: +13000 (bet $10 to win $1,310 total)

Poland: +13000 (bet $10 to win $1,310 total)

Albania: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)

Slovenia: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)

Scotland: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)

Georgia: +50000 (bet $10 to win $5,010 total)

* odds as of 6/18/24

France’s Kylian Mbappé breaks nose, exits game

Futures bet via “The Bear”

The Dutch are always a popular pick to break through and win one of these major tournaments, but seven or so months out, I think the Oranje have a shot at making some noise this summer. Assuming they finish second to France in their group, that likely puts them in a Round of 16 match with Slovakia or Romania.

Portugal would be the highest–rated potential quarterfinal opponent, and in the semis could be Germany — which hasn’t been great in the last few international tournaments — or Spain. With depth and strength in the midfield and on defense, this Dutch side could make a very deep, dark-horse run.

PICK: Netherlands (+1600) to win UEFA Euro 2024*

Futures bet via Doug McIntyre

Croatia reached the semifinals of last year’s World Cup with a squad almost entirely different from the one that finished runner-up four years earlier. Then last June, the Croats lost the UEFA Nations League finals on penalties.

Having accrued so much major tournament experience, this battle-tested, young (aside from ageless captain Luka Modrić) and above all, supremely talented Croatian side could be ready to take the ultimate step and win the Euros for the first time.

PICK: Croatia (+4000) to win UEFA Euro 2024*

* Editor’s note: Picks were made when the draw was released

Here are the previous UEFA Euro champions:

2020: Italy def. England

2016: Portugal def. France

2012: Spain def. Italy

2008: Spain def. Germany

2004: Greece def. Portugal

2000: France def. Italy

1996: Germany def. Czech Republic

1992: Denmark def. Germany

1988: Netherlands def. Soviet Union

1984: France def. Spain

1980: West Germany def. Belgium

1976: Czechoslovakia def. West Germany

1972: West Germany def. Soviet Union

1968: Italy def. Yugoslavia

1964: Spain def. Soviet Union

1960: Soviet Union def. Yugoslavia

Alexi Lalas gives his round-by-round predictions for the Euros

Nuggets via FOX Sports Research

Italy won the 2020 title, beating England 3–2 in a penalty shootout following a 1–1 draw. The tournament was played in 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Germany and Spain are tied for most Euro titles with three each, followed by Italy and France (two each).

Italy goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma was the 2020 Player of the Tournament, becoming the first goalkeeper to win the award.

Portugal’s Cristiano Ronaldo won the top scorer award in 2020 with five goals and one assist.

Here are some background information on the tournament from FOX Sports Research:

– Germany is taking part in its 14th UEFA European Championship, more than any other team.

– Portugal is taking part in its ninth UEFA Euros tournament, including eight in a row since 1996.

– France is taking part in its 11th European Championship, including nine in a row, the second-longest current run after Germany.

– Belgium is taking part in its seventh European Championship. It’s the first time they’ve qualified for three consecutive editions of the tournament.

– Spain is taking part in its 12th European Championship. Spain is the only nation to have won it back-to-back (2008, ’12).

– England is taking part in its 11th European Championship. No team has played as many games in the tournament without winning it (38 matches).

– Denmark is making their 10th appearance. Denmark won the tournament in 1992, which they qualified for after Yugoslavia was disqualified as a result of war in the Balkans.

– Netherlands is taking part in its 11th European Championship. They last won the tournament in 1988, beating the USSR in the final (2-0).

– Croatia is taking part in its seventh European Championship and sixth in a row. Since Croatia’s first participation in 1996, it has reached the knockout phase four out of six times but never progressed beyond the quarterfinals.

– Czechia is taking part in its 11th European Championship (Czechoslovakia included), including eight in a row since 1996. Only Germany (14) and France (nine) are currently on longer runs.

– This is Italy’s 11th appearance in the European Championship – only Germany and Spain have won the tournament more times than the Azzurri (1968, 2020).

– As an independent nation, Serbia qualified for the European Championship for the first time. They competed as Yugoslavia five times, finishing second in 1960 and 1968.

– Switzerland is taking part in its sixth European Championship and third in a row. It’s also the first time Switzerland has qualified for six consecutive major international tournaments (World Cup and Euros) – over the past 20 years, it failed to qualify for a major tournament on only one occasion (Euro 2012).

Doug McIntyre is a soccer writer for FOX Sports. Before joining FOX Sports in 2021, he was a staff writer with ESPN and Yahoo Sports and he has covered United States men’s and women’s national teams at multiple FIFA World Cups. Follow him on Twitter @ByDougMcIntyre.

Chris “The Bear” Fallica has covered sports for nearly three decades. While college football has been his focus, he also enjoys the NFL, Soccer, Golf, Tennis, MLB, NHL and Horse Racing, with an “occasional” wager on such events. Chris recently won the inaugural Circa Football Invitational and finished in the Top 10 of the Golden Nugget Football Contest. He’s a multiple-time qualifier for the NHC Handicapping Championship. Remember, “The less you bet, the more you lose when you win!” Follow him on Twitter @chrisfallica.